Question
Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model Assume following are forecasts of Abercrombie & Fitch's sales, net operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating
Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model Assume following are forecasts of Abercrombie & Fitch's sales, net operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating assets (NOA) as of January 29, 2011.
Reported | Horizon Period | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(In millions) | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Terminal Period |
Sales | $ 3,750 | $ 4,500 | $ 5,400 | $ 6,480 | $ 7,776 | $ 7,853 |
NOPAT | 464 | 581 | 679 | 815 | 957 | 978 |
NOA | 1,350 | 1,624 | 1,922 | 2,306 | 2,798 | 2,827 |
Answer the following requirements assuming a discount rate (WACC) of 13.3%, a terminal period growth rate of 1%, common shares outstanding of 86.2 million, and net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $(288) million (negative NNO reflects net nonoperating assets such as investments rather than net obligations). (a) Estimate the value of a share of Abercrombie & Fitch common stock using the discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of January 29, 2011. Rounding instructions: Round answers to the nearest whole number unless noted otherwise. Use your rounded answers for subsequent calculations.
Reported | Horizon Period | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(In millions) | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Terminal Period |
Increase in NOA | 274 | 298 | 384 | 492 | 29 | |
FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA) | 307 | 381 | 431 | 465 | 949 | |
Discount factor [1 / (1 + rw)t ] | (round to 5 decimal places) | 0.88261 | .779 | .68756 | .60685 | |
Present value of horizon FCFF | 271 | 297 | 296 | 282 | ||
Cumulative present value of horizon FCFF | $1146 | |||||
Present value of terminal FCFF | ??? | |||||
Total firm value | ??? | |||||
Plus negative NNO | (288) | (enter as negative number) | ||||
Firm equity value | $??? | |||||
Shares outstanding (millions) | 86.2 | (round one decimal place) | ||||
Stock price per share | $??? | (round two decimal places) |
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