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Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model Following are forecasts of sales, net operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating assets (NOA) as of

Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model Following are forecasts of sales, net operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating assets (NOA) as of February 26, 2011, for Best Buy, Inc.

Assume Reported Horizon Period
(In millions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Terminal Period
Sales $40,023 $44,577 $49,650 $55,300 $61,592 $62,208
NOPAT 1,448 1,628 1,777 2,009 2,226 2,265
NOA 5,287 5,891 6,545 7,282 8,101 8,214

Answer the following requirements assuming a discount rate (WACC) of 11%, a terminal period growth rate of 1%, common shares outstanding of 410.5 million, and net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $787 million. (a) Estimate the value of a share of Best Buy's common stock using the discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of February 26, 2011. (Round your answer to the nearest whole number except for the discount factors, shares outstanding, and the stock price per share. Round the discount factors to five decimal places, the shares outstanding to one decimal place, and and the stock price to two decimal places.) Use your rounded answers for subsequent calculations.

Assume Reported Horizon Period
(In millions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Terminal Period
Increase in NOA Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer
FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA) Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer
Discount factor [1 / (1 + rw)t ] Answer Answer Answer Answer
Present value of horizon FCFF Answer Answer Answer Answer
Cum present value of horizon FCFF $Answer
Present value of terminal FCFF Answer
Total firm value Answer
NNO (negative NNO) Answer
Firm equity value $Answer
Shares outstanding (millions) Answer
Stock price per share $ Answer

(b) Assume Best Buy (BBY) stock closed at $43.47 on April 1, 2011. How does your valuation estimate compare with this closing price? What do you believe are some reasons for the difference?

Stock prices are a function of many factors. It is impossible to speculate on the reasons for the difference.

Our stock price estimate is lower than the BBY market price, indicating that we believe that BBY stock is undervalued. Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Our lower stock price estimate might be due to more optimistic forecasts or a lower discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts' model assumptions.

Our stock price estimate is lower than the BBY market price, indicating that we believe that BBY stock is overvalued. Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Our lower stock price estimate might be due to more optimistic forecasts or a lower discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts' model assumptions.

Our stock price estimate is lower than the BBY market price, indicating that we believe that BBY stock is overvalued. Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Our lower stock price estimate might be due to more pessimistic forecasts or a higher discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts' model assumptions.

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