Question
Exercise #17 At harvest, you decide to sell your newly harvested soybeans and buy 6 call option contracts on May soybeans to lock in a
Exercise #17
At harvest, you decide to sell your newly harvested soybeans and buy 6 call option contracts on May soybeans to lock in a minimum price on 30,000 bushels of soybeans, while retaining the possibility of a higher price, should prices trend higher in the months ahead.
I want you to complete the transaction next spring, under three different scenarios. Fill in the blanks in the Tdiagram, showing the price you received in $/bushel or in gross sales revenues (price * quantity). Ignore ownership (storage) costs.
Scenario #1: Futures prices change little from harvest to spring
Date | Cash | Options | Basis |
October | Harvest 30,000 bushels of soybeans. Your local elevator is bidding $12.35/ bu. Make the sale and reown soybeans with the purchase of call options on May futures. | With May futures trading at $13.00/bu., the producer buys 6 contracts of 1300 May call options, at a premium of $1.01/bu. | Minimum price established (aka worst case scenario) is $12.35 $1.01 $.01 = $11.33/bu.
|
midApril (just before expiration of May options) | NA | With May soybean futures at $12.70/bu., the 1300 calls are worth less than 1 cent/bu. Let them expire. | NA |
Results | What did you receive in the cash market? $/bu. _____________
$total _____________ | What was your gain or loss on the put options? $/bu. _____________
$total _____________ | What final price did you receive for your corn? $/bu. _____________
$total _____________ |
Scenario #2: Futures prices rise $1/bu. from harvest to spring
Date | Cash | Futures | Basis |
October | Harvest 30,000 bushels of soybeans and sell to your local elevator for $12.35/ bu. | May futures trading at $13.00/bu., buys 6 contracts of 1300 May call options, at a premium of $1.01/bu. | Minimum price established (aka worst case scenario) is $12.35 $1.01 $.01 = $11.33/bu.
|
midApril (just before expiration of May options) | NA | With May soybean futures at $14.00/bu., the 1300 calls are worth $1/bu. sell options for a $1/bu. gain. | NA |
Results | What did you receive in the cash market? $/bu. _____________
$total _____________ | What was your gain or loss on the put options? $/bu. _____________
$total _____________ | What final price did you receive for your corn? $/bu. _____________
$total _____________ |
Scenario #3: Futures prices fall $1/bu. from harvest to spring
Date | Cash | Futures | Basis |
October | Harvest 30,000 bushels of soybeans and sell to your local elevator for $12.35/ bu. | May futures trading at $13.00/bu., buys 6 contracts of 1300 May call options, at a premium of $1.01/bu. | Minimum price established (aka worst case scenario) is $12.35 $1.01 $.01 = $11.33/bu.
|
midApril (just before expiration of May options) | NA | With May soybean futures at $12.00/bu., the 1300 calls have lost all value let them expire worthless. | NA |
Results | What did you receive in the cash market? $/bu. _____________
$total _____________ | What was your gain or loss on the put options? $/bu. _____________
$total _____________ | What final price did you receive for your corn? $/bu. _____________
$total _____________ |
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