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Exhibit II The cash flows of a two-year project when demand turns out to be high and when demand turns out to be low are

Exhibit II

The cash flows of a two-year project when demand turns out to be high and when demand turns out to be low are presented below. The probability that demand will be high is 50% and the probability that demand will be low is 50%. The appropriate discount rate is 11%

Year Cash flow if demand is "high" Cash flow if demand is "low"
0 -100 -100
1 100 50
2 100 50

Refer to Exhibit II. What is the expected NPV of the project? Round your final answer to the nearest dollar. _____

If demand turns out to be high, suppose that the firm has the option to invest an additional $50 at the end of Year 1 to increase production capacity. Doing so would result in an annual cash flow of $200 (rather than $100) at the end of Year 2. What is the expected NPV of the project, after accounting for this expansion option? Round your final answer to the nearest dollar. _____

Refer to your previous answers. What is the value for this expansion option? Round your final answer to the nearest dollar. _____

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