Exit polling is a popular technique used to determine the outcome of an election prior to results being tallied. Suppose a referendum to increase funding for education is on the ballot in a large town(voting population over100,000). An exit poll of 500voters finds that 245

voted for the referendum. How likely are the results of your sample if the population proportion of voters in the town in favor of the referendum is 0.52?

Based on yourresult, comment on the dangers of using exit polling to call elections.

A)The probability that lessless than 245 people voted for the referendum is ______________________

B)Which one is correct:

a) The result isunusual because the probability that p with is equal to or more extreme than the sample proportion is greaterthan5%. Thus, it isnotunusual for a wrong call to be made in an election if exit polling alone is considered.

B. The resultisnotunusual because the probability thatpis equal to or more extreme than the sample proportion is lessthan5%. Thus, it isunusual for a wrong call to be made in an election if exit polling alone is considered. C. The result isnotunusual because the probability that p with is equal to or more extreme than the sample proportion is greaterthan5%. Thus, it isnotunusual for a wrong call to be made in an election if exit polling alone is considered.