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Expected rate of Return State of Economy Probability Fund Returns Rapid expansion and recovery 15% 100% 0.15 Modest growth 40% 30% 0.12 Continued recession 30%

Expected rate of Return

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State of Economy Probability Fund Returns
Rapid expansion and recovery 15% 100% 0.15
Modest growth 40% 30% 0.12
Continued recession 30% 20% 0.06
Falls into depression 15% -100% -0.15
0.18

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