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if a probability is less than the smallest number on the chart, just answer the question < 0.10% (smallest value on the chart) or

if a probability is less than the smallest number on the chart, just answer the question “< 0.10%” (smallest value on the chart) or you can find the probability using Excel.

  1. What is the probability of Coverage Ratio (CR) < 1.0?
  2. What is the probability of a CR < 3.0
  3. What is the maximum amount of debt the company can service and have a 3% probability that the coverage ratio will fall to 1.0 or less?
  4. What is the maximum amount of debt the company can service and have a 10% probability that the coverage ratio will fall to 1.0 or less?
  5. If the interest rate on debt is 14% instead of 12% and all other values in Table 1 are in effect, what is the probability of having a coverage ratio less than 1.0?
  6. If the interest rate is 14%, what debt ratio corresponds to a probability of a CR < 1 of 15%?
  7. What is the probability that the company’s EBIT will be 0 or less? (hint: an EBIT of 0 corresponds what value for ROA? Calculate a Z-score for that ROA)
  8. Table 1. Given information
Expected ROA
16%
STD DEV ROA
4%
Assets
$8,000 M
Interest rate
12%
Debt
$2,000 M

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