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Economy Recession Below Average Average Above Average Boom Weighted Return Probability = 11.150% TECO -8% 2% Gold Hill 23% -3% 2% Portfolio 13% 11%

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Economy Recession Below Average Average Above Average Boom Weighted Return Probability = 11.150% TECO -8% 2% Gold Hill 23% -3% 2% Portfolio 13% 11% 11% Expected Return for the Economy 0.500% 2.500% 4.200% 2.200% 1.750% 0.001134225 0.00149645 0.0019321 0.00160205 0.0008836 Variance = 0.007048425 Standard Deviation = 0.083954899 Coefficient of Variation = 0.752958732

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