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Facts in the Case Company Alpha is the industry leader in the HIV drug industry. They have invested $150 million in research to produce the

Facts in the Case

Company Alpha is the industry leader in the HIV drug industry. They have invested $150 million in research to produce the drug. This investment is a fixed cost. There are a few other smaller companies in the market. The company market share is given in the Excel data sheet.

The government has put a price ceiling on retail price $1.20 per capsule. Company Alpha sell the drug at a wholesale price at $0.80 per capsule. The variable cost per capsule is $0.40. HIV patients are required to take 5 capsules per day. It is estimated that only 75% of the patients take their medicine regularly. Companies use this usage rate to calculate their revenue and cost estimates.

About 70% of the HIV patients depend on the government to pay for their drugs through Medicare and other subsidy programs. In a way, the government (in fact taxpayers) is literally funding the HIV drug industry.

Data given for Calculation

Deaths from HIV/AIDS (Number)

New Infections of HIV/AIDS (new cases of HIV infection)

Number of people living with HIV (includes new patients)

Retail Price/Capsule

Wholesale Price/Capsule

Variable Cost/Capsule

Market share (%) of Alpha

Calculate the followings for the company

Total number of patients =Total patients*Market share

Yearly total revenue, cost, and profit

(Caveat: Actual quantity sold is influenced by dosage and usage rate)

Revenue = Price * Quantity

Cost = Variable Cost * Quantity

Profit = Revenue - Cost

Breakeven quantity = (Fixed Cost / Price Variable Cost)

Any other data analysis to answer the question

Take one position only, not both.

Position 1: The private companies and the advocacy groups have different perspectives in marketing the drug. Company Alpha has been given a special license to sell the drug for 20 years. Their license has expired. They have been given a two-year grace period to continue. The Company is lobbying to renew the license for another 10 years. They are opposed to price ceiling and want to deregulate the price. Other companies in the industry are supporting Company Alpha, the industry leader.

Position 2: The advocacy groups argue that, the taxpayers are literally guaranteeing a fixed income to the drug companies. They oppose the renewal of the license. They suggest that the government should buy the license from the drug companies. Government is willing to pay twice the fixed cost (e.g., $300 million to Company Alpha). The Government will enter into a contract manufacturing with the pharmaceutical companies. Under such arrangement, companies will be producing the drug for the government. It is estimated that this strategy will decrease the variable cost of each capsule by 50%, a substantial savings for the government.

Question

You may take any of the above position and develop a marketing campaign for your argument. What would be your value proposition? How would you market your idea to win the hearts of the citizens and the lawmakers? Support your arguments with data.

Calculate and report the data for the company first. Then take your position and answer the question.

Total number of patients =Total patients*Market share

Yearly total revenue, cost, and profit

Breakeven quantity = (Fixed Cost / Price Variable Cost)

image text in transcribed

Country = USA Total Patients Company Market Share Year Deaths fror New Infect Total Numbe Retail Price Wholesale Variable Cc Daily Dosak Usage rate (o Alpha Marl Fixed Cost 1990 27519 58146 914471 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 85 150000000 1991 32223 50831 951896 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 83 150000000 1992 36373 44195 976764 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 82 150000000 1993 40483 38821 990739 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 81 150000000 1994 45017 35241 997094 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 82 150000000 1995 45401 33863 994736 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 84 150000000 1996 33718 34588 995928 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 80 150000000 1997 19252 36558 1007737 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 83 150000000 1998 15675 39053 1026831 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 83 150000000 1999 16819 41351 1050317 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 82 150000000 2000 15996 42739 1071081 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 81 150000000 2001 15550 43343 1090385 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2002 15322 43746 1110840 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2003 14892 43983 1132713 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 80 150000000 2004 14201 44052 1156991 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 82 150000000 2005 13629 43978 1181762 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2006 13064 43422 1205984 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2007 12235 42232 1227740 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2008 11182 40872 1248538 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2009 10333 39804 1270382 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 75 150000000 2010 9082 39513 1292696 $ 1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 73 150000000 2011 8365 40026 1316272 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 75 150000000 2012 7898 40931 1339916 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 72 150000000 2013 7597 42240 1364864 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 71 150000000 2014 7319 43951 1392678 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 69 150000000 2015 7029 46002 1423054 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 66 150000000 2016 48445 1455773 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 66 150000000 2017 7343 51266 1488180 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 64 150000000 2018 7424 52450 1515773 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 64 150000000 2019 7536 53218 1568180 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 64 150000000 7414 Country = USA Total Patients Company Market Share Year Deaths fror New Infect Total Numbe Retail Price Wholesale Variable Cc Daily Dosak Usage rate (o Alpha Marl Fixed Cost 1990 27519 58146 914471 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 85 150000000 1991 32223 50831 951896 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 83 150000000 1992 36373 44195 976764 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 82 150000000 1993 40483 38821 990739 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 81 150000000 1994 45017 35241 997094 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 82 150000000 1995 45401 33863 994736 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 84 150000000 1996 33718 34588 995928 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 80 150000000 1997 19252 36558 1007737 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 83 150000000 1998 15675 39053 1026831 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 83 150000000 1999 16819 41351 1050317 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 82 150000000 2000 15996 42739 1071081 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 81 150000000 2001 15550 43343 1090385 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2002 15322 43746 1110840 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2003 14892 43983 1132713 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 80 150000000 2004 14201 44052 1156991 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 82 150000000 2005 13629 43978 1181762 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2006 13064 43422 1205984 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2007 12235 42232 1227740 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2008 11182 40872 1248538 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 79 150000000 2009 10333 39804 1270382 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 75 150000000 2010 9082 39513 1292696 $ 1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 73 150000000 2011 8365 40026 1316272 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 75 150000000 2012 7898 40931 1339916 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 72 150000000 2013 7597 42240 1364864 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 71 150000000 2014 7319 43951 1392678 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 69 150000000 2015 7029 46002 1423054 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 66 150000000 2016 48445 1455773 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 66 150000000 2017 7343 51266 1488180 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 64 150000000 2018 7424 52450 1515773 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 64 150000000 2019 7536 53218 1568180 $1.20 $0.80 $0.40 5 0.75 64 150000000 7414

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