Question
Farah Jeans of San Antonio, Texas, is completing a new assembly plant near Guatemala City. A final construction payment of Q8,900,000 is due in six
Farah Jeans of San Antonio, Texas, is completing a new assembly plant near Guatemala City. A final construction payment of Q8,900,000 is due in six months. ("Q" is the symbol for Guatemalan quetzals.) Farah uses 18.50% per annum as its weighted average cost of capital. Today's foreign exchange and interest rate quotations are as follows:
Construction payment due in 6 months (A/P, quetzals) | 8,900,000 |
|
Present spot rate (quetzals/$) | 6.92 | |
6-month forward rate (quetzals/$) | 7.09 | |
Guatemalan 6-month interest rate (per annum) | 13.50% | |
U.S. dollar 6-month interest rate (per annum) | 6.50% | |
Farah's weighted average cost of capital (WACC) | 18.50% |
Farah's treasury manager, concerned about the Guatemalan economy, wonders if Farah should be hedging its foreign exchange risk. The manager's own forecast is as follows:
Expected spot rate in 6-months (quetzals/$): |
| |
Highest expected rate (reflecting a significant devaluation) | 8.18 | |
Expected rate | 7.30 | |
Lowest expected rate (reflecting a strengthening of the quetzal) | 6.59 |
a. How much in U.S. dollars will Farah Jeans pay in 6 months without a hedge if the expected spot rate in 6 months is Q8.18/$? Q7.30/$? Q6.59/$?
b. How much in U.S. dollars will Farah Jeans pay in 6 months with a forward market hedge?
c. How much in U.S. dollars will Farah Jeans pay in 6 months with a money market hedge?
d. Which method would you select and why?
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