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Ferrari IPO 2015 Guide questions 1. What is going on at Ferrari? At what price do you think the shares should be sold? 2. Tell

Ferrari IPO 2015 Guide questions 1. What is going on at Ferrari? At what price do you think the shares should be sold? 2. Tell me more about your market-multiples approach. How does it work? What are the strengths and weaknesses of using a market multiples approach in valuation? 3. Tell me more about DCF approach. How does it work? with the excel calculation for DCF using exhibit 8

Exhibit 8
FERRARI: THE 2015 INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERING
Ferrari Forecast (Millions of Euro, except as noted)
Assumptions 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Growth in Cars Shipped 3.6% 7.0% 5.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.0%
Growth in Revenue/Car 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Growth in Engine Revenue 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Growth in Other Revenue 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
Operating Margin - Cars 12.5% 13.0% 13.5% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0%
Operating Margin - Engines 9.1% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Operating Margin - All Other Revenue 24.9% 25.0% 27.0% 28.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Net Working Capital Turnover 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2
Net Fixed Asset Turnover 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.8
Deprec&Amort/PPE 34% 34% 34% 34% 34% 34%
Financial Forecast
Car Shipments (000s) 7.26 7.76 8.15 8.48 8.82 9.08
Avg Revenue per Car (Euro 000s) 268 281 295 310 326 342
Car Revenue 1,944 2,184 2,408 2,629 2,871 3,105
Engine Revenue 311 320 330 340 350 361
All other Revenue 507 523 554 587 623 660
Total Revenue 2,762 3,027 3,292 3,556 3,844 4,126
Operating Profit-Cars 243 284 325 368 402 435
Operating Profit-Engines 28 32 33 34 35 36
Operating Profit-All Other Revenue 126 131 150 164 187 198
Total Operating Profit 398 447 508 567 624 669
Net Working Capital 1,425 1,513 1,568 1,617 1,747 1,875
Net PP&E and Int. Assets 851 932 998 1,016 1,039 1,086
Dep & Amort 289 317 339 345 353 369
Total Revenue Growth 18% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7%
EBITDA Margin 25% 25% 26% 26% 25% 25%
Source: Case Writer Estimates

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