Question
Florida Citruss management is currently evaluating a new product, fresh lemonade. The new product would cost more but is far superior to the competing frozen
Florida Citruss management is currently evaluating a new product, fresh lemonade. The new product would cost more but is far superior to the competing frozen lemonade products that are made from reconstituted lemon juice.
Production facilities for the fresh lemonade product would be set up in an unused section of the firms main plant. Relatively inexpensive machinery with an estimated cost of only $500,000 would be purchased; but the shipping costs of $20,000 and installation charges of $50,000 would be additional costs of the equipment. Inventories would have to be increased by $10,000 at the time of the initial investment. The machinery has a remaining economic life of 4 year and the company has obtained a special tax ruling that allows it to depreciate the equipment under the MACRS 3-year class of 33.33%, 44.45%, 14.81 and 7.41% in year 1-4 respectively. The machinery is expected to have a salvage value of $100,000 after 4 years of use. The section of the main plant where lemonade production would occur has been unused for several years and consequently has suffered some deterioration. Last year, as part of a routine facility improvement program, the firm spent $100,000 to rehabilitate that section of the main plant. Florida Citrus recently received an offer from another citrus producer who expressed an interest in leasing the proposed production site for this project for $25,000 per year.
The firms management expects to sell 400,000 16-ounce cartons of the new lemonade product in year 1 and expected sales for years 2, 3 and 4 will increase at the rate of 5% per year. The current (i.e., year 0) price is $2 per 16oz carton, and $1.50 per carton is the current (i.e., year 0) cost needed to cover both fixed and variable cash operating costs. It is expected that price per carton will increase at a rate of 5% per year while the operating costs will increase at a 3% rate per year. The firms sales department noted that the lemonade project would cut into the firms sales of frozen lemonade. Specifically, the sales manager estimated that the lemonade concentrate sales would fall by 5% if fresh lemonade were introduced and estimates from both the sales and production departments concluded that the new product would probably lower the firms lemonade concentrate sales by $40,000 per year. At the same time, the production costs of lemonade concentrate would reduce by $20,000 per year, all on a pre-tax basis.
Given the firms tax rate as 40% and its overall cost of capital as 10%, you have been approached by the president of the company with a request to analyze and critically evaluate the project. Estimate its potential profitability (i.e., NPV, IRR, MIRR etc.) and also perform a break-even analysis to determine the number of 16-ounce cartons that would be sold to break-even. Should Florida Citrus proceed with the project?
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