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Suppose that Blackberry is deciding whether or not to develop a new smartphone. If the firm develops the phone and it is a success

  

Suppose that Blackberry is deciding whether or not to develop a new smartphone. If the firm develops the phone and it is a success with customers, then its current profits will increase by 50%. However, if the phone is not a success, the firm will suffer losses, but these losses depend on whether or not the phone's design can be of value to other firms: if some other firm is willing to buy the phone's design from Blackberry, then Blackberry suffers a 25% drop in its profits, while if no other firm is interested in the design, Blackberry suffers a 100% drop in its profits. Blackberry believes that there is a 70% chance that the new phone will be a success with customers. (a) Describe the list of consequences for this decision problem. (b) Describe the following lotteries: IIN is the lottery corresponding to Blackberry not developing the new phone. IIYY is the lottery corresponding to Blackberry developing the new phone and being certain that other firms will buy the phone's design if it is not a success with customers. IIY? is the lottery corresponding to Blackberry developing the new phone but having no information about whether or not ther firms will buy the phone's design if it is not a success with customers.

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