Four analysts cover the stock of Fluorine Chemical. One forecasts a 6% return for the coming year. The second expects the return to be -5%. The third predicts a return of 11%. The fourth expects a 3% return in the coming year. You are relatively confident that the return will be positive but not large, so you arbitrarily assign probabilities of being correct of 34%,7%, 19% and 40%, respectively, to the analysts' forecasts. Given these probabilities, what is Fluorine Chemical's expected return for the coming year?

Fluorine Chemical's expected return for the coming year is % ?