Four analysts cover the stock of Fluorine Chemical. One forecasts a 4% return for the coming year. The second expects the return to be 5%. The third predicts a return of 10%. The fourth expects a 1% return in the coming year. You are relatively confident that the return will be positive but not large, so you arbitrarily assign probabilities of being correct of 32%, 7%, 17%, and 44%, respectively, to the analysts' forecasts. Given these probabilities, what is Fluorine Chemical's expected return for the coming year?