Four analysts cover the stock of Fluorine Chemical. One forecasts a 66%

return for the coming year. A second expects the return to be negative 55%.

A third predicts a return of 1111%.

A fourth expects a 11%

return in the coming year. You are relatively confident that the return will be positive but notlarge, so you arbitrarily assign probabilities of being correct of 28 % comma28%,

8 %8%,

17 %17%,

and 4747%,

respectively, to theanalysts' forecasts. Given theseprobabilities, what is FluorineChemical'sexpected return for the comingyear?