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Free Spirit Industries Inc. Co. is planning to add a new product line to make iGadgets. However, Free Spirit Industries Inc. is considering the possibility
Free Spirit Industries Inc. Co. is planning to add a new product line to make iGadgets. However, Free Spirit Industries Inc. is considering the possibility of abandoning the project if the demand for the new product is low. In the following decision tree table, (1), (2) and (3) represent decision points, also known as decision nodes or stages. The dollar value to the right of each decision node represents the net cash flow at that point, and the cash flows shown under t=3,4, and 5 represent the cash inflows if the project is pushed on to completion. If Free Spirit Industries Inc. Co. decides to launch the new line for iGadgets at Stage (1), then it will spend $60,000 on the marketing study. If the marketing study yields positive results, then the firm will spend $200,000 on the prototype. If the prototype works well, then the firm will spend several millions more at Stage (3) to build a production plant. Suppose that as an analyst at Free Spirit Industries Inc. you have to analyze sequential decisions. By studying the following decision tree, you learn which of the following? Check all that apply. There is a 5% probability that the marketing study will produce negative results. There is a probability of 95% that the marketing study will produce positive results. There is a 5% probability that the marketing study will produce positive results. There is a 10% probability of the pilot project yielding average results. Free Spirit Industries Inc. Co. is planning to add a new product line to make iGadgets. However, Free Spirit Industries Inc. is considering the possibility of abandoning the project if the demand for the new product is low. In the following decision tree table, (1), (2) and (3) represent decision points, also known as decision nodes or stages. The dollar value to the right of each decision node represents the net cash flow at that point, and the cash flows shown under t=3,4, and 5 represent the cash inflows if the project is pushed on to completion. If Free Spirit Industries Inc. Co. decides to launch the new line for iGadgets at Stage (1), then it will spend $60,000 on the marketing study. If the marketing study yields positive results, then the firm will spend $200,000 on the prototype. If the prototype works well, then the firm will spend several millions more at Stage (3) to build a production plant. Suppose that as an analyst at Free Spirit Industries Inc. you have to analyze sequential decisions. By studying the following decision tree, you learn which of the following? Check all that apply. There is a 5% probability that the marketing study will produce negative results. There is a probability of 95% that the marketing study will produce positive results. There is a 5% probability that the marketing study will produce positive results. There is a 10% probability of the pilot project yielding average results
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