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FX forward brainteaser, part 1 Let x t be the euro dollar exchange rate ( in dollars per euro ) at time t , and

FX forward brainteaser, part 1
Let xt be the euro dollar exchange rate (in dollars per euro) at time t, and suppose
xT|xtlognormal(logxt+(T-t),2(T-t)).
(a) Calculate E(xT|xt). Find in terms of r$,r and the value of such that
E(xT|xt)=F(t,T), where F(t,T) is the forward euro dollar FX rate (see
Question 3).
(b) Let Yt be the dollar euro exchange rate (in euro per dollar). Find the distribution
of YT|Yt and calculate E(YT|Yt).(Hint. Lengthy calculations are not required.)
For what value of does E(YT|Yt)=tilde(F)(t,T), where tilde(F)(t,T) is the forward dollar
euro FX rate?
(c) What condition has to be satisfied such that both E(xT|xt)=F(t,T) and
E(YT|Yt)=tilde(F)(t,T)? What does this imply in practice?
(d) Suppose that xt=1. Show that for the value of found in (a),
E(xT|xt=1)=E(YT|Yt=1) if and only if =2(r$-r)2 and r$r.
Note Does the lack of symmetry in results (c) and (d) trouble you?
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