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General Corman s facility receives 1 0 0 0 0 visitors over a year. It is estimated that 0 . 5 % of those visitors

General Cormans facility receives 10000 visitors over a year. It is estimated that 0.5% of those visitors are Spies, of whom a proportion of 0.98 are Detected. Unfortunately, 1 in 50 of the non-Spy visitors are incorrectly Detected and detained as spies. How many Spies are there over the year; how many are Spies are Detected and how many non-Spies are incorrectly Detected as Spies? Is it more or less likely that someone Detected is a Spy or not? Explain your answer.

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