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Given the current economic condition, describe your performance expectation of a particular asset (or an underlying) and formulate a speculation strategy involving (an) exchange-traded derivative

Given the current economic condition, describe your performance expectation of a particular asset (or an underlying) and formulate a speculation strategy involving (an) exchange-traded derivative security/securities based on your expectation. Elaborate on your expectation, your speculation strategy, and its potential risks.

  1. Your expectation is about a particular asset (e.g., the Tesla stock, crude oil, gold, etc.), or an underlying factor (e.g., the S&P 500 Index or the S&P/Case-Shiller Metro Area Home Price Indices). Your answer should NOT be about an asset class or asset type or category. Be specific.
  2. The underlying asset or the underlying should have the standards specified by exchanges. The strategy has to be executable using exchange-traded derivatives.
  3. Your expectation and trading strategy should be related to the current economic condition. (IMPORTANT)
  4. Be concise

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