go.gale.com/ps/i.do?p=OVIC&u=ivytech1&v=2.1&it=r&id=GALE%7CEJ3010847203&asid=1589601600000~a3151199 Search... Q Advanced Search 66 Cite Send to... Download Print Get Link Highlights and lic Nevertheless, a clear trend is emerging in most simulations. "In places where it already rains a lot today, it will rain even more," says Erich Roeckner, a veteran climatologist who has spent years the future." simulating changes in precipitation in a warmer climate. "And where it's dry today, it'll be even drier in The common myth that developing countries, the poorest of the poor, will suffer the most as a result of climate change is wrong-at least according to current climate models. In central Africa, for example, the models predict that hardly anything will change, and precipitation will likely remain constant. And according to most simulations, precipitation could even increase in the drought- and famine-plagued Sahel. "If this turns out to be true," says Roeckner, "it will of course be a surprisingly positive side effect." CLEAR WINNERS OF CLIMATE CHANGE The clear winners are principally the northern regions of the world where it has up until now been too cold and inhospitable. Countries like Canada and Russia can look forward to better harvests and blossoming tourism. The countries bordering the Arctic also hope that the melting of sea ice will enable them to reach previously inaccessible natural resources. For Scandinavians, for example, the only drawback will be a possible guilty conscience over the fact that they are benefiting from climate change. It will become more arid, however, in many subtropical regions. Industrialized nations, which bear the greatest culpability for global warming, will be most heavily affected. The new drought zones will probably lie in the southern United States and Australia, as well as in South Africa. In Europe, Mediterranean countries like Spain, Italy and Greece will struggle with even drier climates than they already have today. The clear winners are principally the northern regions of the world where it has up until now been too cold and inhospitable. A drastic shift could take place in the European tourism business, as climate change heralds bad times for the large tourist developments in southern Spain and good times for hotels along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts. "If I had a vacation house on Mallorca," Max Planck scientist Jochem Marotzke jokes, "I would sell it and look for one on (the Baltic Sea island of) Usedom." Books . Harold Ambler Don't Sell Your Coat: Surprising Truths About Climate Change. East Lansing, MI: Lansing International Books, 2011. Larry Bell Climate of Corruption: Politics and Power Behind the Global Warming Hoax. Austin, TX: Greenleaf Book Group, 2011