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Growth Option: Decision-Tree Analysis Fethe's Funny Hats is considering selling trademarked, orange-haired curly wigs for University of Tennessee football games. The purchase cost for a

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Growth Option: Decision-Tree Analysis Fethe's Funny Hats is considering selling trademarked, orange-haired curly wigs for University of Tennessee football games. The purchase cost for a 2. year franchise to sell the wigs is $20,000. If demand is good (40% probability), then the net cash flows will be $26,000 per year for 2 years. If demand is bad (60% probability), then the net cash fiows will be $3,000 per year for 2 years. Fethe's cost of capital is 11%. Do not round Intermediate calculations. a. What is the expected NPV of the project? Negative value, if any, should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answer to the nearest dollar b. If Fethe makes the investment today, then it will have the option to renew the franchise fee for 2 more years at the end of Year 2 for an additional payment of $20,000. In this case, the cash flows that occurred in Years 1 and 2 will be repeated so If demand was good in Years 1 and 2, it will continue to be good in Years 3 and 4). Write out the decision tree. Note: The franchise fee payment at the end of Year 2 is known, so it should be discounted at the risk-free rate, which is 7%. Select the correct decision tree. A B 11% 1 2 3 20 000 26.000 26.000 26.000 26.000 20.000 (1 = 7%) 40% Prob Good 0 1 2 20.000 26.000 26.000 26.000 26.000 20.000 = 75) 40% Prob Good Bad 80% Prob Bad 60% Prob 3.000 20.000 3.000 o 0 3.000 20.000 3.000 3.000 3.000 D Bad Bad 60% Probe - 20.000 3,000 60% Prob - 20.000 3.000 3.000 0 3,000 3.000 3000 0 D 4 T11% 0 1 20.000 3.000 1 = 7% 0 1 2 3 4 20.000 26.000 26.000 26.000 26.000 20.000 (r = 11%) 40% Prob Good 40% Prob Good 2 3 3.000 3.000 3.000 20.000 (1 = 7%) Bad 60% Prob - 20,000 3.000 Bad 60% Prob 3.000 0 0 20.000 26.000 26.000 0 0 The correct graph is -Select Use decision-tree analysis to calculate the expected NPV of this project, including the option to continue for an additional 2 years. Negative values, if any, should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answer to the nearest dollar. $

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