HCB, Inc. is considering investing in a new We tried really hard but lost! bobble head machine. If UT loses the SEC Championship, these should
HCB, Inc. is considering investing in a new "We tried really hard but lost!" bobble head machine. If UT loses the SEC Championship, these should sell like hotcakes and the cash flows will be $40,000 per year for 5 years. The probability of losing is 80%. If UT wins the championship, then these won't sell well and the cash flows will be -$20,000 per year for 5 years. The probability of UT winning the SEC championship is 20%. It will cost $100,000 to purchase the equipment. Investment must occur now. However, if UT wins the championship and the bad cash flows occur, HCB can simply shut down the production process after a year of bad cash flows and sell the equipment for $50,000. This selling price is known with certainty. The risk free rate is 6% and the cost of capital is 10%. Use a decision tree to find the NPV of the investment opportunity including the abandonment option.
a. 25,748
b. 26,561
c. 27,103
d. 27,916
e. 29,000
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