Question
Hello, I need assistance with this problem. I have to make it in excel and am lost. I will work with someone to finish it.
Hello, I need assistance with this problem. I have to make it in excel and am lost. I will work with someone to finish it.
Question:
Sonoma Valley Wines
Story:
After graduating from business school, George Clark went to work for a Big Six
accounting firm in San Francisco. Because his hobby has always been wine making,
when he had the opportunity a few years later, he purchased 5 acres of land in Sonoma
Valley in Northern California. He plans eventually to grow grapes on that land and make
wine with them. George knows that this is a big undertaking and that it will require more
capital than he has at the present. However, he figures that, if he persists, he will be able
to leave accounting and live full-time from his winery earnings by the time he is 40.
Because wine making is a capital-intensive and growing commercial-quality grapes with
a full yield of 5 tons per acre takes at least 8 years, George is planning to start small. This
is necessitated by both his lack of capital and his experience in wine making on a large
scale, although he has long made wine at home. His plan is first to plant the grapes on his
land to get the vines started. Then he needs to set up a smaller trailer where he can live on
weekends while he installs the irrigation system and does the required work to the vines,
such as pruning and fertilizing. To help maintain a positive cash flow during the first few
years, he also plans to but grapes from other nearby growers so he can make his own
label wine. He proposes to market it through a small tasting room that he will build on his
land and keep open on weekends during the spring-summer season.
To begin, George is going to use $10,000 in savings to finance the initial purchase of
grapes from which he will make his first batch of wine. He is also thinking about going to
the Bank of Sonoma and asking for a loan. He knows that if he goes to the bank, the loan
officer will ask for a business plan; so he is trying to pull together some numbers for
himself first. This way he will have a rough notion of the profitability and cash flows
associated with his ideas before he develops a formal plan with a pro forma income
statement and balance sheet. He has decided to make the preliminary planning horizon
two years and would like to estimate the profit over that period. His most immediate task
is to decide how much of the $10,000 should be allocated to purchasing grapes for the
first year and how much to purchasing grapes for the second year. In addition, each year
he must decide how much he should allocate to purchasing grapes to make his favorite
Petite Syrah and how much to purchasing grapes to make the more popular.
Sauvignon Blanc that seems to have been capturing the attention of the wider market
during the past few years in California.
In the first year, each bottle of Petite Syrah requires $0.80 worth of grapes and each bottle
of Sauvignon Blanc uses $0.70 worth of grapes. For the second year, the costs of the
grapes per bottle are $0.75 and $0.85, respectively. George anticipates that his Petite
Syrah will sell for $8.00 a bottle for the first year and for %8.25 in the second year,
whereas Sauvignon Blancs price remains the same in both years at $7.00 a bottle.
Besides the decisions about the amounts of grapes to purchase in the 2 years, George
must make estimates of the sales levels for the two wines during the 2 years. The local
wine-making association has told him that marketing is the key to success in any wine
business; generally, demand is directly proportional to the amount of effort spent on
marketing. Thus, because George cannot afford to do any market research about sales
levels due to lack of capital; he is pondering how much money he should spend to
promote each wine each year. The wine-making association has given him a rule of
thumb that relates estimated demand to the amount of money spent on advertising. For
instance, they estimate that, for each dollar spend in the first year promoting the Petite
Syrah, a demand for 5 bottles will be created; and for each dollar spent in the second
year, a demand for 6 bottles will result. Similarly, for each dollar spent on advertising for
the Sauvignon Blanc in the first year, up to 8 bottles can be sold; and for each dollar
spent in the second year, up to 10 bottles can be sold.
The initial funds for the advertising will come from the $10,000 savings. Assume that the
cash earned from the wine sales in the first year is available in the second year.
A personal concern George has is that he maintain a proper balance of wine products so
that he will be well positioned to expand his marketing capabilities when he moves to the
winery and makes it his full-time job. Thus, in his mind, it is important to ensure that the
number of bottles of Petite Syrah sold each year falls in the range between 40% and 70%
of the overall number of bottles sold.
Questions:
1. George needs help to decide how many grapes to buy, how much money to spend on
advertising, how many bottles of wine to sell, and how much profit he can expect to earn
over the 2-year period. Develop a spreadsheet LP model to help him.
2. Solve the linear programming model formulated in Question 1
Here is what I have so far.
Objective
To find out how many grapes to buy, how much money to spend on
Advertising, how many bottles of wine to sell, and how much profit he can expect to earn
Over the 2-year period.
Inputs
Requirements of grapes per bottle
How much each bottle is sold for
Advertising demand
ps
1y for every $1 <= 5 bottles
2y $1 <= 6 bottles
sb
1y $1<= 8 bottles
2y $1 <= 10 bottles
Petite Syrah = 40-70%
1y
Grapes and advertising<= 10000 (initial start up)
2y
Grapes and advertising <= initial start up + 1st year revenue
Please help me
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