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Herd immunity is when most of a population is immune to an infectious disease, either because of a vaccine or because of prior infection. Johns
Herd immunity is when most of a population is immune to an infectious disease, either because of a vaccine or because of prior infection. Johns Hopkins estimates that around 58% of the population would need to be immune to COVID-19 in order to offer herd protection (https://abcn.ws/2Siaug9). The current population of the United States is approximately 331 million people. The approximate death rate due to COVID-19 in the United States is 4.3% (https://bit.ly/2KJbgi9). There have been suggestions that the United States should ease social distancing restrictions and allow the virus to run its course (https://abcn.ws/2Siaug9) in order to reach herd immunity quickly. 1) If the virus were to continue to spread unabated, how long would it take for 58% of the United States population to become infected? 2) How many deaths due to Covid-19 would the United States incur? 3) Based on the data, would you recommend this strategy? Support your reasoning mathematically. Graph: https://www.desmos.com/calculator/lbpnwl2zpj
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