Question
Here are the basic rules of Club Keno: You choose how many numbers you will pick. You can pick anywhere from 1 to 10 different
Here are the basic rules of Club Keno:
- You choose how many numbers you will pick. You can pick anywhere from 1 to 10 different numbers.
- Pick your numbers between 1 and 80.
- A drawing is held in which 20 numbers are picked.
- Depending on how many of your numbers come up in the drawing, you win various amounts of money.
In a previous assignment we saw the number of ways to chooseexactly x correct from a total of n picks, you would do:
nCx * 80-nC20-x
We also saw the total number of possible outcomes in Club Keno are80C20.
Four Numbers - Expected Value
According to the Michigan Lotterythe best odds of winning are when you pick four numbers. If all four numbers come up then you win $72 for each dollar you bet. If three numbers come up then you win $5 for each dollar you bet. If two numbers come up then you win $1 for every dollar you bet (net winnings are zero). Otherwise, you lose the money you bet.
Fill out the following table, assuming a $1 bet. Enter probabilities as decimals, rounded to four decimal places.
Outcome | Probability (Use Scientific Notation) | Net Value (Don't forget to account for the $1 bet) | Product (Round to 3 decimals) |
4 correct | $ | $ | |
3 correct | $ | $ | |
2 correct | $ | $ | |
0 or 1 correct | $ | $ |
What is the expected value if you choose four numbers? $
Kicker
Another option in Club Keno is to play the "Kicker." This is an option that doubles your bet, but you can get a random multiplier to your winnings. About 2/3 of the time there is no multiplier, though. Let's consider what the expected value is when playing the kicker while only betting on only one number.
Outcome | Kicker | Probability | Net Value |
1 Correct | x1 | 0.15625 | $0 |
1 Correct | x2 | 0.046875 | $2 |
1 Correct | x3 | 0.0234375 | $4 |
1 Correct | x4 | 0.01171875 | $6 |
1 Correct | x5 | 0.00585938 | $8 |
1 Correct | x10 | 0.00585938 | $18 |
0 Correct | Any | 0.75 | -$2 |
What is the expected value when using the Kicker option and choosing one number? $ (Round to the nearest cent.)
If you had not played the kicker, the table would be:
Outcome | Probability | Net Value |
1 Correct | 0.25 | $1 |
0 Correct | 0.75 | -$1 |
If you had not played the kicker, what would the expected value be? $ (Round to the nearest cent.)
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