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Here are the basic rules of Club Keno: You choose how many numbers you will pick. You can pick anywhere from 1 to 10 different

Here are the basic rules of Club Keno:

  • You choose how many numbers you will pick. You can pick anywhere from 1 to 10 different numbers.
  • Pick your numbers between 1 and 80.
  • A drawing is held in which 20 numbers are picked.
  • Depending on how many of your numbers come up in the drawing, you win various amounts of money.

In a previous assignment we saw the number of ways to chooseexactly x correct from a total of n picks, you would do:

nCx * 80-nC20-x

We also saw the total number of possible outcomes in Club Keno are80C20.

Four Numbers - Expected Value

According to the Michigan Lotterythe best odds of winning are when you pick four numbers. If all four numbers come up then you win $72 for each dollar you bet. If three numbers come up then you win $5 for each dollar you bet. If two numbers come up then you win $1 for every dollar you bet (net winnings are zero). Otherwise, you lose the money you bet.

Fill out the following table, assuming a $1 bet. Enter probabilities as decimals, rounded to four decimal places.

Outcome

Probability

(Use Scientific Notation)

Net Value

(Don't forget to account for the $1 bet)

Product

(Round to 3 decimals)

4 correct

$

$

3 correct

$

$

2 correct

$

$

0 or 1 correct

$

$

What is the expected value if you choose four numbers? $

Kicker

Another option in Club Keno is to play the "Kicker." This is an option that doubles your bet, but you can get a random multiplier to your winnings. About 2/3 of the time there is no multiplier, though. Let's consider what the expected value is when playing the kicker while only betting on only one number.

Outcome Kicker Probability Net Value
1 Correct x1 0.15625 $0
1 Correct x2 0.046875 $2
1 Correct x3 0.0234375 $4
1 Correct x4 0.01171875 $6
1 Correct x5 0.00585938 $8
1 Correct x10 0.00585938 $18
0 Correct Any 0.75 -$2

What is the expected value when using the Kicker option and choosing one number? $ (Round to the nearest cent.)

If you had not played the kicker, the table would be:

Outcome Probability Net Value
1 Correct 0.25 $1
0 Correct 0.75 -$1

If you had not played the kicker, what would the expected value be? $ (Round to the nearest cent.)

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