Question
Howard Weiss, Inc., is considering building a sensitive new radiation scanning device. His managers believe that there is a probability of 0.35 that the ATR
Howard Weiss, Inc., is considering building a sensitive new radiation scanning device. His managers believe that there is a probability of 0.35 that the ATR Co. will come out with a competitive product. If Weiss adds an assembly line for the product and ATR Co. does not follow with a competitive product, Weiss's expected profit is $40,000; if Weiss adds an assembly line and ATR follows suit, Weiss still expects $10,000 profit. If Weiss adds a new plant addition and ATR does not produce a competitive product, Weiss expects a profit of $600,000; if ATR does compete for this market, Weiss expects a loss of $100,000.
a) Expected value for the
Add Assembly Line
option =?
(enter your answer as a whole number).
Expected value for the
Build New PlantBuild New Plant
option =?
(enter your answer as a whole number).
The alternative that provides Weiss the greatest expected monetary value (EMV
is
Build New Plant or add assembly line?
The value of the return under this decision is
?
(enter your answer as a whole number).
b) The expected value of perfect information (EVPI) for Weiss =
?
(enter your answer as a whole number).
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