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I need help understanding this. the customers that sign up for a gym membership only 31% continue attending after two months. I call customers at

I need help understanding this.

the customers that sign up for a gym membership only 31% continue attending after two months.

I call customers at random that signed up for a gym membership in.What is the probability that the third or fourth customer I call is the first one that is continuing to attend the gym after two months?

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