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If the log - prices follow a random walk log ( St ) = log ( St 1 ) + Wt , then the returns
If the logprices follow a random walk logStlogStWt
then the returns are described as
rtmu sigma ZtZtN
For this exercise, it is useful to isolate the random term, also called the normalized return,
Ztrtmu sigma
Note how we simply have to rewrite the equation for rt
to get to Zt
In our model, we assume mu sigma
to be the parameters driving the process. In reality, we do not know their exact values; therefore, we estimate them from the data, using npmean and npstd
Plot a histrogram of the daily normalized returns of Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla shares. Use the following bins: nplinspace In the same figure, plot the normal distribution with zero mean and unit variance, that is N
How well do the figures agree? What conclusions do you draw?
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