Question
If the spot rate for British pounds is 0.6 pounds equals 1 US $, and annual interest rate on fixed rate one-year deposits of pounds
If the spot rate for British pounds is 0.6 pounds equals 1 US $, and annual interest rate on fixed rate one-year deposits of pounds is 3.25% and for US$ is 2.25%, what is the eighteen-month forward rate for one dollar in terms of pounds? Assuming the same interest rates, what is the 36-month forward rate for one pound in dollars? Is this an indirect or a direct rate? If the forward rate is an accurate predictor of exchange rates, in this case will the pound get stronger or weaker against the dollar? What does this indicate about the markets inflation expectations in the UK compared to the US?
b). Assume you plan to buy 10 million pounds of UK consols and hold them for three years, using the information above what would be your hedged annual cash flow in dollars. What is a way you could hedge your exposure if you thought the $ would weaken?
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