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If the U.S. trade balance with Japan is expected to go from a deficit this year to a surplus next year, the forward rate on

If the U.S. trade balance with Japan is expected to go from a deficit this year to a surplus next year, the forward rate on yen would

a) be less than the spot rate

b) be higher than the spot rate

c) equal the spot rate

d) could be either above or below the spot rate

The answer is D , could you explain why both scenarios might happen ?

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