Question
In 2000, General Electric (GE) was the most valuable company globally with a market capitalization of almost $600 billion (see Exhibit MC8.1). An investment of
In 2000, General Electric (GE) was the most valuable company globally with a market capitalization of almost $600 billion (see Exhibit MC8.1). An investment of a mere $100 in GE in April 1981, when Jack Welch took over as chairman and CEO, would have been worth $10,679 in August 2000 when GE's market value peaked. Given his success in making GE the most valuable company globally, Welch was hailed as the best CEO of the century by business media.
Jack Welch was known as a super-hard-charging CEO who felt that GE was hampered by inefficient bureaucracy. To address this problem, Welch eliminated 100,000 jobs during his tenure, which earned him the nickname "Neutron Jack." Welch also required each of GE's businesses to be either number one or number two in their respective markets; if they failed to achieve this goal, he would tell his leaders to "fix it, close it, or sell it."1 He also required each GE manager to provide a stacked ranking of all its employees, and each year the bottom 10 percent would be fired. Exhibit MC8.2 depicts GE's product and geographic scope from 2001, the last year of Welch's 20-year tenure, to 2018.
Fast-forward to spring 2019, the year GE's market valuation dropped to $87 billion. GE had lost a whopping $507 billion (more than 85 percent) of its market valuation. What happened? Answer: A bad corporate strategy.
To decide how to compete as a multi-business enterprise, strategic leaders formulate corporate strategy along the three dimensions:
1. Vertical integrationin what stages of the industry value chain should the company participate?
2. Diversificationwhat range of products and services should the company offer?
3. Geographic scopewhere should the company compete in terms of regional, national, and international markets?
For this discussion, we will focus on diversification (product scope) and geographic scope (where to compete).
GE, founded in 1892, was known as a maker of home appliances, power turbines, locomotive engines, jet engines, and MRI machines, but also TV shows (such as Seinfeld), making it an unrelatedly diversified business. For most, it is not readily apparent what nuclear power plants, light bulbs, and TV shows have in common. By 2001, the year Welch stepped down as CEO, almost half of GE's $130 billion revenues and more than half of its profits came from one business unit: GE Capital (see Exhibit MC8.2 for GE's product scope). Under Welch, the hugely profitable GE Capital, which provided discounted capital to each of GE's business units, was considered the main driver behind GE's success. GE's AAA credit rating also allowed it to access capital more inexpensively than its rivals could. Albeit profitable for many years, GE Capital would eventually become the conglomerate's prime weakness because it created huge exposure to macroeconomic forces for a company that, at its core, was an industrial company.
Moreover, under Welch, GE basically was a domestic U.S. company with two-thirds of its revenues coming from its home market (see Exhibit MC8.3 for GE's geographic scope). This prevented GE from taking advantage of significant global growth opportunities in the emerging BRIC economies (Brazil, Russia, India, and China), where growth was rising rapidly during the 2000s.
On September 7, 2001, Jeffrey Immelt was appointed the new GE chairman and CEO (see Exhibit MC8.1). Since then, the external environment experienced the social and economic effects of the 9/11 terrorist attacks followed later by the 2008-2009 global financial crisis. Although GE is a diversified conglomerate that spans many industries and markets, the recession of 2001 and the even deeper recession of 2008 hit the company especially hard, with GE Capital taking an especially hard financial blow (recall that more than half of GE's profits were coming from that unit at the time). During the critical 17 months that followed, GE's share price fell 84 percent, from $42.12 (on October 2, 2007) to a low of $6.66 (on March 5, 2009), equating to a loss in shareholder value of $378 billion (see Exhibit MC8.1).
EXHIBIT MC8.1General Electric's Market Cap and Key Events, 2000-2019
Source: Author's depiction of publicly available data.
To compound matters, GE also lost its AAA credit rating. As a result, the company had to ask for a $15 billion liquidity injection from famed investor Warren Buffett. In addition, the U.S. government had to bail out GE when the Federal Reserve stepped in to ensure continued liquidity for what was viewed as one of the largest banks in the United States, which GE had by de facto become. Indeed, during the global financial crisis, the Federal Reserve had designated GE a "systemically important financial institution (SIFI)," which meant that its failure could trigger a financial crisis (too big to fail). This SIFI designation submitted GE to additional federal regulation and oversight, which would limit executives' decision-making freedom. When GE lost its AAA credit rating, it also lost favorable access to debt funding, which had provided a competitive edge over other engineering companies such as Siemens. The 2008 financial crisis demonstrated clearly the risk of both selling and financing its products, a practice that was at the core of the way GE did business. For example, GE would build power plants in emerging economies and provide discounted financing through GE Capital to its customers at the same time.
Conglomerates such as GE that pursue unrelated diversification tend to experience a diversification discount: The stock price of such highly diversified firms is valued at less than the sum of their individual business units. GE experienced a significant diversification discount, as its capital unit contributed 50 percent of profits for many years. The presence of the diversification discount in GE's depressed stock price was a major reason GE's then CEO, Jeffrey Immelt, decided to spin out GE Capital in 2015. On the day of the announcement, GE's stock price jumped 11 percent, adding $28 billion to GE's market capitalization (see Exhibit MC8.1).
The need for corporate restructuring was clear to Immelt. By 2009, GE's five business units (Technology Infrastructure, Energy Infrastructure, Capital Finance, Consumer and Industrial, and NBC Universal) brought in $157 billion in annual revenues. More than 50 percent of those revenues came from outside the United States, and GE employed more than 300,000 people in over 100 countries. Immelt decided to refocus GE's portfolio of businesses to reduce its exposure to capital markets and to achieve reliable and sustainable future growth; he attempted to achieve this by leveraging its core competency in industrial engineering. GE sold NBC Universal to Comcast, the largest U.S. cable operator; it also sold its century-old appliance unit to Haier, a Chinese manufacturer.
Immelt then used the cash injection from the sale of GE Capital to double down on the power business: He acquired the ailing French engineering group Alstom in 2015 for a deal valued at $17 billion. Under Immelt's restructuring, GE shifted its product focus to industrial products and engineering, making aviation, power, oil and gas, and health care its four largest units (see Exhibit MC8.2). By 2018, GE's geographic scope was more diversified, with the U.S. now accounting for less than 40 percent of annual sales, and Europe and Asia each accounting for about 20 percent of revenues (see Exhibit MC8.3).
Yet, GE continued to lose money. By 2018, GE's Alstom acquisition was its power unit and designated the second-largest strategic business. However, by the end of the year, its revenues fell by over 20 percent. Overall, in the third quarter of 2018 alone, GE posted a loss of $34 billion. The firm had amassed too much debt and had too little cash flow. The diagnosis was that Immelt overpaid on several high-profile acquisitions (Alstom, being one, and the oil-field services company Baker Hughes, which it acquired for $32 billion, being another). In addition to overpaying for these firms, it also sold or spun off other GE units for too little.
On August 1, 2017, the board of GE replaced the haphazard Immelt with John Flannery, a 30-year GE insider who had led the health care unit (see Exhibit MC8.1). After only one year on the job, the board decided to let Flannery go because it felt he was too indecisive, spending too much time in endless meetings focusing on analysis and consensus building rather than on taking the drastic actions they felt were needed to right the firm. In June 2018, when morale among GE employees was already low, GE reached its lowest point: It was dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and replaced by Walgreens. GE had continuously been listed on the DJIA (the most widely cited stock index representing the 30 most prestigious U.S. companies) since 1907. Its replacement by Walgreens was the final blow for the firm.
In 2019 the board appointed Lawrence "Larry" Culp as the new CEO; he had previously led Danaher Corp., another globally diversified conglomerate, albeit much smaller than GE. Culp is the first outsider to be appointed CEO in GE's 126-year history. To GE-lifers such as Welch, Immelt, and Flannery, the appointment of an outsider came as a complete shock; in their minds the best managers in the world that could run any business better than anyone else were all produced at GE. Executives that did not ascend to the CEO job left and became CEOs elsewhere, for example, 3M, Boeing, and The Home Depot, among many others. Each of these firms is considered among the greatestU.S. enterprises. GE's current board of directors, which now includes a seat held by the activist investor Trian Fund (run by billionaire Nelson Peltz), is clearly wanting to shake things up.
- What kind of diversification was GE pursuing? What are the sources of value creation withthis type of diversification?
- How did GE lose $507billion of its market valuation since its peak? What went wrong?
- GE's corporate empire included financial services and industrial product companies. What lessons about diversification as a strategy be learned from GE's experience?
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