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In place of a die, the ancient Greeks would roll an astragalus. Suppose that one astragalus has four possible outcomes, which we will name King,

In place of a die, the ancient Greeks would roll an astragalus. Suppose that one astragalus has four possible outcomes, which we will name King, Steward, Peasant, and Thief. If Peasant is four times as likely as King and Thief is four times as likely as Steward, and King are Steward are equally likely, what is closes to the probability that one roll of this astragalus results in Peasant

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