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In this problem you are trying to value an employee stock option. The option is granted with a 4 year vesting period; i . e

In this problem you are trying to value an employee stock option. The option is granted with a 4 year vesting period; i.e., it can only be exercised only after 4 years from the time it is granted. The option has a strike price equal to the stock price at the time it is granted. If an employee leaves the company before the option is vested, then the option is forfeited. If an employee leaves the company after the option is vested, then the option has to be exercised immediately at the time the employee leaves if it has any intrinsic value; i.e., if the stock price at the time exceeds the strike price. The option has a 10 year maturity; i.e., if it has not been exercised before, it must be exercised 10 years after it is granted (as long as the option payoff is positive). Assume that a vested option is exercised prior to maturity only if the stock price is at least 2.2 times the exercise price (the multiple of 2.2 is based on historical information on exercise behavior by employees). Further assume that, each year, there is a 5% probability that the employee will leave the company. For each part below, calculate the value of the employee stock option using annual time steps. Assume that the current stock price is $100, and that the logarithmic annual returns of the stock are normally distributed with mean of 3% and standard deviation of 20%. Assume that the discount rate is 0%. Use 1000 iterations. 1. Calculate the value of an option for a single share of a company. 2. Calculate the value of the option for a single share of the company, if the probability of the employee leaving the company depends on the companys performance: in years where the stock price of the company increases, the probability of an employee leaving is still 5%, while in years where the stock price of the company decreases, the probability of an employee leaving is 20%. Hint 1. If the logarithmic return for year 1 is r, and todays price is $100, then the price after 1 year is given by $100 times exp(r), where exp(r) is the exponential function with argument r. The exponential function in Excel is given by exp (). Hint 2. If the strike price of an option for a single share of the stock is $100, then the option is only exercised if the price, at the time of exercise is above $100, otherwise it is worthless. The value of the option is equal to the difference between the stock price at the time of exercise and the strike price. For example, if the stock price at the time of exercise is $120, the option value is $20. If the stock price at the time of exercise is $90, the option value is $0.

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