INFORMATION PART: hracat:Export Fark:Difference Toplam:Total Katsaylar:Coefficients Standart Hata:Standard Error

QUESTION:

Above, Turkey's export and real effective exchange rate values for the period 1996-2006 are given. Check and interpret whether the 2001 crisis experienced during this period caused a structural change on exports, first with the Chow Test and then with the Slope Dummy approach.

3) 1996 1997 1998. 1999 2000 Regresyon Fark Toplam Fark Toplam Regresyon Fark Toplam HRACAT (Y) 23,30 26,30 26,60 26,70 27,80 df 1 3 4 df 1 4 5 df 1 9 10 REDK (X) 101,7 115,9 120,9 127,3 147,6 Kesiim REDK (X) DUMMY (D) SLOPE DUMMY (DX) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1996-2000 ANOVA MS 9,13 0,75 2000-2006 ANOVA SS MS 1944,17 1944,17 365,83 91,46 2310,00 1996-2006 ANOVA MS 3280,42 166,35 Standart Hata 26,64 0,21 34,96 0,26 SS 9,13 2,24 11,37 HRACAT (Y) 31,30 36,10 47,30 63,20 73,50 85,50 SS 3280,42 1497,13 4777,55 Katsaylar 15,12 0,089 -95,52 0,86 REDK (X) 116,3 125,4 140,6 143,2 171,4 160,1 F 12,20 F 21,26 F 19,72 t Stat 0,56 0,41 -2,73 3,24 Anlamllk F 0,040 Anlamllk F 0,00995 Anlamllk F 0,001621746 P-deeri 0,58 0,68 0,02 0,01 3) 1996 1997 1998. 1999 2000 Regresyon Fark Toplam Fark Toplam Regresyon Fark Toplam HRACAT (Y) 23,30 26,30 26,60 26,70 27,80 df 1 3 4 df 1 4 5 df 1 9 10 REDK (X) 101,7 115,9 120,9 127,3 147,6 Kesiim REDK (X) DUMMY (D) SLOPE DUMMY (DX) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1996-2000 ANOVA MS 9,13 0,75 2000-2006 ANOVA SS MS 1944,17 1944,17 365,83 91,46 2310,00 1996-2006 ANOVA MS 3280,42 166,35 Standart Hata 26,64 0,21 34,96 0,26 SS 9,13 2,24 11,37 HRACAT (Y) 31,30 36,10 47,30 63,20 73,50 85,50 SS 3280,42 1497,13 4777,55 Katsaylar 15,12 0,089 -95,52 0,86 REDK (X) 116,3 125,4 140,6 143,2 171,4 160,1 F 12,20 F 21,26 F 19,72 t Stat 0,56 0,41 -2,73 3,24 Anlamllk F 0,040 Anlamllk F 0,00995 Anlamllk F 0,001621746 P-deeri 0,58 0,68 0,02 0,01