Question
Interviews with senior managers have produced the following adjustments to the expected cash flow in years 1 to 7. For each year the estimated adjustment
Interviews with senior managers have produced the following adjustments to the expected cash flow in years 1 to 7. For each year the estimated adjustment needed to obtain the certainty equivalent cash flow is shown as a ratio which needs to be applied to the estimated values to yield the certainty equivalent values
year | Expected cash flow (000s) | Ratio to obtain certainty equivalent |
1 | 8 | 0.9 |
2 | 7 | 0.85 |
3 | 7 | 0.8 |
4 | 5 | 0.75 |
5 | 5 | 0.7 |
6 | 5 | 0.65 |
7 | 5 | 0.60 |
Explain what it means that all the ratios are less than unity.
If the project has an initial value of 13,000 and the firms own discount is 20% with the risk free discount being 10%, should be project be accepted if you use the certainty equivalent data?
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