Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Link Copied!

Question

1 Approved Answer

Investment Timing Option: Option Analysis The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns.

Investment Timing Option: Option Analysis

The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates the project would cost $8 million today. Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of $4 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, in 2 years it will have more information about the local geology and about the price of oil. Karns estimates that if it waits 2 years then the project would cost $9 million. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, then there is a 90% chance that the net cash flows would be $4.2 million a year for 4 years and a 10% chance that they would be $2.2 million a year for 4 years. Assume all cash flows are discounted at 10%. Use the Black-Scholes model to estimate the value of the option. Assume the variance of the project's rate of return is 0.111 and that the risk-free rate is 7%. Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers in millions. For example, an answer of $10,550,000 should be entered as 10.55. Round your answer to three decimal places.

$ million

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

Step: 1

blur-text-image

Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions

See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success

Step: 2

blur-text-image

Step: 3

blur-text-image

Ace Your Homework with AI

Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance

Get Started

Recommended Textbook for

Internal Control Anti Fraud Program Design For The Small Business

Authors: Steve Dawson

1st Edition

1119065070, 978-1119065074

More Books

Students also viewed these Accounting questions