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It is a hot morning in February in Sydney. However, some dark clouds are appearing outside as well. It might rain and you are thinking

It is a hot morning in February in Sydney. However, some dark clouds are appearing outside as well. It might rain and you are thinking about taking an umbrella with you. Considering the history of weather in Sydney, there is a 30% chance of rain on any given day in February. Furthermore, on days when it does in fact rain, 95% of the time there are dark clouds that roll in during the morning. But, on days when it does not rain, 25% of the time there are dark clouds that roll in during the morning. Given that there are dark clouds rolling in, what is the chance that it will rain?

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