Question
It is known that among UCLA students 60% support candidate A for the student council, while only 40% support candidate B. In order not to
It is known that among UCLA students 60% support candidate A for the student council, while only 40% support candidate B. In order not to waste the time of too many students, it was decided that instead of holding general elections, n students will be selected at random and the outcome of the elections will be based on the majority vote among them (the candidate receiving the most votes wins). Suppose that n is small compared to the entire student population, so that the votes of the n selected students are essentially i.i.d.
1. Let Sn be the number of students among the n who voted for candidate A.How is Sn distributed?2. Write the event that candidate A wins the elections in terms of Sn.3. If n = 500, find a lower bound on the probability that the outcome of the elections is just (candidate A wins)? Use Chebyshev's inequality
2. Write the event that candidate A wins the elections in terms of Sn.
3. If n = 500, find a lower bound on the probability that the outcome of theelections is just (candidate A wins)? Use Chebyshev's inequality.
4. Find a lower bound on n which will guarantee that the outcome of the elections is just with probability at least 97.5%?
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