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It is now 2 nd May 2 0 2 3 , you are an experienced speculator and have just received the following exchange rate forecasts

It is now 2nd May 2023, you are an experienced speculator and have just received the
following exchange rate forecasts from financial analyst; 4 months TZS/US$;
US$: TZS 2,5402,590
Your bank (Umoja commercial bank) provides you with the following quotations;
2
nd May exchange rate
Spot US$: TZS 2,475-2,500
Four months forward 10-20 pm
Assume can speculate by buying and selling 1,00,000 units of either currency
Required:
(i) Suppose you strongly believe in the exchange rate forecasts by financial analyst
which step would you take to benefit from possible spot speculation? What will
be your expected profit from this speculation in TZS?
(ii) Which steps would you take to benefit from a possible forward speculation? What
will be your expected profit from this speculation? In TZS
(iii) Suppose the actual exchange rate turns out to be US$: TZS 16001605. What
would be your actual profit or loss on speculation in TZS?

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