Jeff Heun, president of Marigold Always, agrees to construct a concrete cart path at Dakota Golf Club. Marigold Always enters into a contract with Dakota to construct the path for $238,000. In addition, as part of the contract, a performance bonus of $34,000 will be paid based on the timing of completion. The performance bonus will be paid fully if completed by the agreed-upon date. The performance bonus decreases by $8,500 per week for every week beyond the agreed-upon completion date. Jeff has been involved in a number of contracts that had performance bonuses as part of the agreement in the past. As a result, he is fairly confident that he will receive a good portion of the performance bonus. Jeff estimates, given the constraints of his schedule related to other jobs, that there is 50% probability that he will complete the project on time, a 25% probability that he will be 1 week late, and a 25% probability that he will be 2 weeks late.

Assume that Jeff Heun has reviewed his work schedule and decided that it makes sense to complete this project on time. Assuming that he now believes that the probability for completing the project on time is 92% and otherwise it will be finished 1 week late, determine the transaction price.

Transaction price