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Job Offers Decision Tree Problem I You are currently in the process of interviewing for jobs. Current information is shown below. Job A has a
Job Offers Decision Tree Problem I
You are currently in the process of interviewing for jobs. Current information is shown below.
Job A has a starting salary of $ You have an interview scheduled to occur days from now. If you get a job offer from that interview, it will come immediately on day You estimate the probability that you will be offered the job to be If you receive an offer for Job A you will need to give an answer by day
Job B has a starting salary of $ You have already interviewed and received a job offer. You need to give them an answer by day
Other information in the table below has similar interpretations. You should assume that if you pass the deadline for accepting a job offer, you lose the opportunity to accept the job. If you ac cept a job, you will not attend any subsequent interviews or entertain any other job offers.
Job Salary P Offer Interview Deadline
A $
B $ na offered
c $ na offered
D $ na offered
E $
Draw by hand the decision tree that represents this multistage decision scenario. Your tree should reflect the sequence of decisions you need to make, as well as what is known vs not known at the time the decision needs to be made. Outcomes for interviews that are still in the future are unknown.
Each decision node should have branches for all of the options that should be considered at that point in time. Do not omit branches simply because you would not choose that alternative under the current information. If you have already passed the deadline for accepting a job offer, accepting that job is no longer an alternative. If you have not including not yet received a job offer, accepting that job is not yet an alternative.
The tree should be complete with all branch values, branch probabilities, and terminal values. The only branches that should have nonzero branch values are those that represent accepting a job. Each of the terminal values will then be the salary for the one job that is accepted.
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