Just before a referendum on a harmonized sales tax, a local newspaper polls 381 voters in an attempt to predict whether the proposition will pass. Suppose that the proposition actually has the support of 54 % of the voters. What's the probability the newspaper's sample will lead it to predict defeat? Be sure to verify that the assumptions and conditions necessary for your analysis are met.

What is the probability that the newspaper's sample will lead it to predict defeat? Answer to three decimal places.