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Konfidence Bank has made a loan to Risky Corporation. The loan terms include a default risk - free base rate of 2 percent, a risk

Konfidence Bank has made a loan to Risky Corporation. The loan terms include a
default risk-free base rate of 2 percent, a risk premium of 2.25 percent, an origination
fee of 0.25 percent, and a 5 percent compensating balance requirement. Required
reserves are no longer necessary. What is the rate of return the bank expects if full
repayment is made by Risk Corporation?
Risky Corporation's debt is rated by Moody's as Baa3 and currently is trading at an
annual yield of 4.625 percent. The equivalent constant maturity US Treasury is selling
to yield 1.32 percent. What is the probability of repayment and the probability of
default implied by the market for Risky?
Given your answers to question 1 and question 2 above, what is the return that
Confidence bank expects to receive from the Risky loan?
Based on past default (repayment) experience by Confidence Bank, their statisticians
use a linear probability model to find common variables that may predict the
probability of default by a borrower. They find that the debt-equity ratio (D/E), the
sales-asset ratio (S/A), and the equity multiplier (E/A) were three factors influencing the
past default behavior of borrowers.
The model has the following parameter estimates. Risk Corporation has a (D/E) ratio of
0.325, a profit margin (PM) of 1.8 and an EBIT/Sales of 2.25. What does the model
predict as the probability of default for Risky?
PDi=0.47(DA)j-0.05(PM)j-0.013(EBITSales)j
Given the contractual return found in problem 1, and the probability of default from
the linear probability model in problem 4, what is the return that Confidence Bank
expects to receive from the Risky loan?
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