l. Critically assess the View that an understanding of the principles of 'scientic' decision-making is fundamental to the wetness of a modem economy. 2. 3. (i) (ii) (iii) Explain the concept of opportunity loss, and show that the minimum opportunity loss is equal to the Expected Value of Perfect Information. The failure rate in a particular examination is estimated to be 40% . Construct a table showing the probabilities of 0, l, 2 . . . 5 students failing in a sample of ve. 150 graduate entrants are due to take their rst professional accounting exam at the Institute of Certiable Accountants. The probability distribution for the failure rate is estimated in the following table: Failure rate Probability 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 Each failing student is entitled to a 10 refund on professional fees. The Institute's senior tutor is condent that she could ensure a failure rate of 0.1 by holding an intensive revision course, at a cost to the Institute of 300. Advise the Institute on whether the revision course should take place. A tutorial test of ve students resulted in no failures. Use this information to revise the failure rate probability distribution, and hence reassess the revision course. 'Despitc being a small local shopkeeper 1 can always beat the price that Woolworths charge for the same product. Woolworths must pay rent on its store while I own my shop and have no rent to pay.' Discuss. A rm keeps a record of sales and prices over the past seven months, resulting in the following table: Price (1an Salas (tons) Nov. 1985 7.5 84.5 Dec. 8.0 82.0 J an. 1986 8.0 84.0 Feb. 7.2 92.0 March 7.0 95.0 April 8.0 92.0 May 8.5 91.5 Use these observations to estimate demand as a linear function of both price and time. Utilise this function to estimate demand for the following month, on the assumption that: (a) price remains unchanged, (b) price increases to 9lton. 10. Given the nature of the observations, comment on any difculties in interpreting your results for decision-making purposes. Critically assess the methods used to generate empirical estimates of both short- and long-run cost functions. Do the empirical difculties encountered rob the resulting estimates of any general operational utility? 'About half of all advertising expenditure is wasted. The problem lies in knowing which half.' Discuss this statement and assess the useful- ness of managerial models of advertising allocation decisions. Analyse the effects of an increase in interest rates on the investment activity of a prot maximising rm. Does it matter if ination increases in proportion to the increase in interest rates? (a) Show that an increase in the unit value of stock will lead to a less than proportionate fall in the optimum amount of stock held. What assumptions underlie your answer? (b) A rm faces a uniform annual demand of 100000 units. The purchase cost of stock is 10 per unit, whilst the cost of ordering stock is 20, and the cost of holding stock is 14% of the average stock value. Find the Ewnomic Order Quantity and the Mini- mum Acquisition Cost. How are your answers affected by: (i) the fact it takes two weeks between placing an order and stock arriving; (ii) the offer of a 1% discount off the purchase cost if stock is ordered in lorry loads of 17 000 units. 'The market allocates resources to the rms that best meet the needs of consumers.' Discuss. "The force of competition, the desires of managers and the needs of shareholders combine to ensure that rms maximise prot.' Discuss
