Question
Larissa has been talking with the company's directors about the future of East Coast Yachts. To this point, the company has used outside suppliers for
Larissa has been talking with the company's directors about the future of East Coast Yachts.
To this point, the company has used outside suppliers for various key components of the com
pany's yachts, including engines. Larissa has decided that East Coast Yachts should consider
the purchase of an engine manufacturer to allow East Coast Yachts to better integrate its supply
chain and get more control over engine features. After investigating several possible companies,
Larissa feels that the purchase of Ragan Engines, Inc., is a possibility. She has asked Dan Ervin
to analyze Ragan's value.
Ragan Engines, Inc., was founded nine years ago by a brother and sisterCarrington
and Genevieve Raganand has remained a privately owned company. The company
manufactures marine engines for a variety of applications. Ragan has experienced
rapid growth because of a proprietary technology that increases the fuel efficiency of
its engines with very little sacrifice in performance. The company is equally owned
by Carrington and Genevieve. The original agreement between the siblings gave each
150,000 shares of stock.
Dan has gathered the following information about some of Ragan's competitors that are
publicly traded:
EPS DPS Stock Price ROE R
Blue Ribband Motors Corp.
Bon Voyage Marine, Inc.
Nautilus Marine Engines
Industry average
$1.09
1.26
(.27)
$ .69
$.19
.55
.57
$.44
$16.32
13.94
23.97
$18.08
10.00%
12.00
N/A
11.00%
12.00%
17.00
16.00
15.00%
Nautilus Marine Engines's negative earnings per share (EPS) were the result of an accounting
write-off last year. Without the write-off, EPS for the company would have been $2.07. Last
year, Ragan had an EPS of $5.35 and paid a dividend to Carrington and Genevieve of $320,000
each. The company also had a return on equity of 21 percent. Larissa tells Dan that a required
return for Ragan of 18 percent is appropriate.
1. Assuming the company continues its current growth rate, what is the value per share of
the company's stock?
2. Dan has examined the company's financial statements, as well as examining those of its
competitors. Although Ragan currently has a technological advantage, Dan's research
indicates that Ragan's competitors are investigating other methods to improve efficiency.
Given this, Dan believes that Ragan's technological advantage will last only for the next
five years. After that period, the company's growth will likely slow to the industry aver
age. Additionally, Dan believes that the required return the company uses is too high. He
believes the industry average required return is more appropriate. Under Dan's assump
tions, what is the estimated stock price?
3. What is the industry average price-earnings ratio? What is Ragan's price-earnings ratio?
Comment on any differences and explain why they may exist.
4. Assume the company's growth rate declines to the industry average after five years. What
percentage of the stock's value is attributable to growth opportunities?
5. Assume the company's growth rate slows to the industry average in five years. What future
return on equity does this imply?
6. Carrington and Genevieve are not sure if they should sell the company. If they do not sell
the company outright to East Coast Yachts, they would like to try and increase the value
of the company's stock. In this case, they want to retain control of the company and do
not want to sell stock to outside investors. They also feel that the company's debt is at a
manageable level and do not want to borrow more money. What steps can they take to try
and increase the price of the stock? Are there any conditions under which this strategy
would not increase the stock price?
MINI CASE WORTH 15 MARKS
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