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Lucy's Lollipops Co. imports candy to United States from Mexico. Lucy's is expanding its business by purchasing candy in Mexico. A vendor in Mexico has

Lucy's Lollipops Co. imports candy to United States from Mexico. Lucy's is expanding its business by purchasing candy in Mexico. A vendor in Mexico has agreed to a price of 10,000,000 pesos, due in 90 days. The following statistics describe the current state of the Peso-Dollar FX market.

i. The spot rate is USD 0.0682/MXN

ii. The 90-day interest rate in Mexico is 2.54%

iii. The 90-day interest rate in the US is 1.68%

The options market has the following contracts available:

  • A call option on 10,000,000 MXN with a strike price equal to USD $690,000 (I.e., per peso is $0.0690) will cost $31,000.

  • A put option on 10,000,000 MXN with a strike price equal to USD $690,000 (I.e., per peso is $0.0690) will cost $15,000.

What is your estimate for the cash flow in terms of USD, which will result from the firm's following choices: to not hedge at all, use a forward market hedge, or use one of the options (listed above) to hedge. For the options chosen, you need to decide whether a call or a put is most appropriate. Note that your answers should be negative as the cash flow is to pay a vendor.

This below is a table.

Spot Market at S(1) No Hedge Options Forward Markets

USD 0.0600/MXN

USD 0.0625/MXN

USD 0.0650/MXN

USD 0.0675/MXN

USD 0.0700/MXN

USD 0.0725/MXN

USD 0.0750/MXN

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