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Many people believe that there is a Friday effect in the stock market. They do not necessarily spell out exactly what they mean by this,
Many people believe that there is a "Friday effect" in the stock market. They do not necessarily spell out exactly what they mean by this, but there is a sense that the stock prices tend to be lower on Fridays than on Mondays.
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Because stock prices are readily available on the web, it should be easy to test this hypothesis empirically.
- Before collecting data and running test, however, you must decide exactly which hypotheses you want to test because there are several possibilities. Formulate two sets of null/alternative hypotheses: a two-tail test of hypothesis to determine if the prices are different on Fridays versus Mondays and a one-tail test of hypothesis to determine whether Friday prices are lower than Monday prices .
- Decide on criteria to support or refute your hypothesis. Specify significance level (0.01, 0.05, 0.1).
- Collect a year's worth of data points (52 Fridays and the following Mondays) from the stock market and perform the 2 Sample T - test analysis.
- What are the p-values for the two sets of test of hypotheses?State whether the null hypotheses are rejected or not for each test.
- Can you conclude that there is a statistically significant Friday effect in the stock market based on the two sets of tests of hypothesis conducted?Explain in detail.
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