Marle Construction enters into a contract with a customer to build a warehouse for $850,000 on March 30, 2015 with a performance bonus of $50,000 if the building is completed by July 31, 2015. The bonus is reduced by $10,000 each week that completion is delayed. Marle commonly includes these completion bonuses in its contracts and, based on prior experience, estimates the following completion outcomes:

Completed by	Probability
July 31, 2015	65%
August 7, 2015	25%
August 14, 2015	5%
August 21, 2015	5%

What is the transaction price for this transaction for this contract?

What Method has been used and explain why? (hint: Expected Value or Most Likely Amount)