Measuring standalone risk using realized (historical) data Returns earned over a given time period are called realized returns Historical data on realized returns is often used to estimate future results Analysts across companies use realized stock returns to estimate the risk of a stock Consider the case of Falcon Freight Inc (FF) Five years of realized returns for FF are given in the following table Remember 1 While FF was started 40 years ago, its common stock has been publicly traded for the past 25 years 2 The returns on its equity are calculated as arithmetic returns 3 The historical returns for FF for 2012 to 2016 are 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Stock return 25 00 17 00 30 00 42 00 13 00 Given the preceding data, the average realized return on FFs stock is The preceding data series representsa sample of FFs historical returns Based on this conclusion, the standard deviation of FFs historical returns is If investors expect the average realized return from 2012 to 2016 on FFs stock to continue into the future, its coefficient of variation (CV) will be

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Measuring standalone risk using realized (historical) data Returns earned over a given time period are called realized returns. Historical data on realized returns is often

Measuring standalone risk using realized (historical) data

Returns earned over a given time period are called realized returns. Historical data on realized returns is often used to estimate future results. Analysts across companies use realized stock returns to estimate the risk of a stock.

Consider the case of Falcon Freight Inc. (FF):

Five years of realized returns for FF are given in the following table. Remember:

1.	While FF was started 40 years ago, its common stock has been publicly traded for the past 25 years.
2.	The returns on its equity are calculated as arithmetic returns.
3.	The historical returns for FF for 2012 to 2016 are:

	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016
Stock return	25.00%	17.00%	30.00%	42.00%	13.00%

Given the preceding data, the average realized return on FFs stock is .

The preceding data series representsa sample of FFs historical returns. Based on this conclusion, the standard deviation of FFs historical returns is .

If investors expect the average realized return from 2012 to 2016 on FFs stock to continue into the future, its coefficient of variation (CV) will be .